But aides say that Mrs. Clinton drew a lesson from her 2008 run: she believes that the country approves of her, and of female candidates in general, when they appear to be serving others rather than seeking power out of personal ambition. By that logic, Mrs. Clinton’s interest in helping poor women around the world would not hurt her politically in 2016 and might add to her current politician-above-politics luster.
Part of Bill Keller’s reasoning is Andrew Cuomo:
One: it does more to guarantee Obama’s re-election than anything else the Democrats can do.
Two: it improves the chances that, come next January, he will not be a lame duck with a gridlocked Congress but a rejuvenated president with a mandate and a Congress that may be a little less forbidding.
Three: it makes Hillary the party’s heir apparent in 2016. If she sits out politics for the next four years, other Democrats (yes, Governor Cuomo, we see your hand up) will fill the void.
Unfortunately, I think he is being guided by his future political aspirations," said City Councilwoman Melissa Mark-Viverito of Manhattan, referring to the widely held assumption that Cuomo wants to run for president in 2016. "That’s why he’s doing what he’s doing.
Keep in mind, for an executive, it’s very hard to ever run for an office nationally,” said the mayor. “Legislators can be away and campaign.” Bloomberg said some governors have gone on to become president, but “generally, they didn’t run while in office. Executives have to be at his or her desk, all the time.
No, it’s not a possibility.
Patrick Reddy, a Dem consultant writes in Buffalo News:
If Obama loses in 2012, the next Democratic nomination will be wide open and Clinton would definitely be the front-runner. What would likely be her prospects in the Democratic field of 2016? One reason Clinton narrowly lost the nomination in 2008 was that Obama was able to monopolize the votes of black women, part of her traditional base. Unless another strong black candidate emerges, that’s not likely to happen again in the next drive.